How Industrial Rents Tripled… Then Collapsed
Industrial rents in Southern California tripled in 18 months—then stalled—leaving owners, tenants, and brokers trying to make sense of a brutal reset.
In this episode of Commercial Real Estate Secrets, Aviva Sonenreich sits down with veteran industrial broker and author Allen C. Buchanan to unpack what really happened in the Inland Empire and across the Southern California logistics belt.
Highlights:
- The industrial market reset in Southern California
- The truth about Class A industrial oversupply
- How to talk to owners when the market shifts
- Cost pressures & tenant behavior
- The Sequence: a blueprint for a CRE career
- Allen’s commercial real estate secret
Perfect for:
Anyone who wants a clear, data-backed understanding of Southern California’s industrial reset—and what it signals for owners, tenants, investors, and brokers across the country.
00:00:03,000 --> 00:00:06,120
This week on Commercial Real
Estate Secrets, we have Alan
2
00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:08,960
Buchanan.
Alan is an industrial real
3
00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:14,440
estate advisor, author, speaker
out of Southern California.
4
00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:16,480
Thank you for being on the show
today, Alan.
5
00:00:16,720 --> 00:00:19,080
Aviva, thank you so much.
I tell you, it's been a dream
6
00:00:19,080 --> 00:00:21,160
come true.
So be sitting here and talking
7
00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:23,040
to you alive and in person.
So this is awesome.
8
00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:27,560
Thank you.
Well, Alan, I want to jump into
9
00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,120
it.
You.
10
00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:35,320
Are a broker out of, I feel like
the Inland Empire.
11
00:00:35,520 --> 00:00:40,320
You said you work in a portion
of the Inland Empire or all of
12
00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:41,920
it.
It's like I said, I think the
13
00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:45,920
Inland Empire is probably a few
times the size of our industrial
14
00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:48,640
market here in Denver.
It sounds like there's been a
15
00:00:48,640 --> 00:00:53,920
little bit of a reset and I
would love to hear it from you.
16
00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:56,800
What in the world is going on
over there in Southern
17
00:00:56,800 --> 00:00:57,920
California?
Industrial.
18
00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:00,640
I'd love to, I'd love to share
it with you.
19
00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:03,120
And, and frankly, it's, it's
happened throughout Southern
20
00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:06,920
California is vast.
We probably have 3 billion
21
00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:09,800
square feet of industrial.
The Inland Empire alone has
22
00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:13,600
about a billion square feet.
If you lump in the port of Los
23
00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:16,920
Angeles, San Gabriel Valley,
that adds another billion and a
24
00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:18,960
half.
Orange County is the balance.
25
00:01:18,960 --> 00:01:22,160
So it's a vast, fast, fast
industrial market.
26
00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:27,640
So like many markets, when COVID
hit, our rents were hovering and
27
00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:29,880
I'm going to talk in terms of
prices per square foot, our
28
00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:33,240
rents were hovering on buildings
above 100,000 feet, probably in
29
00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:37,440
the 65 to 70 cent per square
foot per month range.
30
00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:43,560
Once COVID hit and the shock of
folks being at home and and
31
00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:46,760
ordering off their keyboards,
once that shock hit and
32
00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:51,200
industrial came roaring back,
those rents in a period of a
33
00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:54,600
year and a half, Aviva tripled
in many cases.
34
00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:58,960
So we're talking about $0.65 a
square foot.
35
00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:02,120
Now all of a sudden we're
talking about $1.95 cents a
36
00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:05,360
square foot.
And at the same time that was
37
00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:09,680
happening, there was this, there
was this giant suck of inventory
38
00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:13,320
out of the market because
e-commerce distributors, third
39
00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:17,120
party logistics providers,
anyone and everyone that needed
40
00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:21,760
to provide just in case
inventory was consuming all of
41
00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:24,800
the available product.
We were at a relatively low
42
00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:27,880
vacancy at the time anyway.
We're probably less than 5%.
43
00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:31,880
And when that happened, we went
to 0 awfully quickly.
44
00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:34,640
That's the same time that was
occurring.
45
00:02:34,680 --> 00:02:38,400
You had a bunch of developers
add new square footage to the
46
00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:43,360
market just in time for the
market to start its descent,
47
00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:45,880
which happened in the middle of
2022.
48
00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:51,320
So when that occurred, we end up
with this giant imbalance of
49
00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:56,200
available inventory and demand.
And frankly, we haven't, we
50
00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:58,440
haven't survived.
We haven't come back from that.
51
00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:01,520
We're starting to see some
inklings of that coming back.
52
00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:05,560
But as if, as of this recording,
it's it's not recovered.
53
00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:09,720
And So what that means is a
tenant in the marketplace these
54
00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:13,600
days, if they have credit, can
drive an incredible deal.
55
00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:18,440
We're not quite back to 2019
rent levels, but the concessions
56
00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:22,200
on a five to seven-year term or
in some cases a year of free
57
00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:26,840
rent, in some cases three or
four months of beneficial
58
00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:31,440
occupancy.
Annual increases that are at the
59
00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:34,360
peak about 4% a year are now
down in the three, three and a
60
00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:38,360
quarter, 3 1/2% per year.
And once again, the rates have
61
00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:41,320
not quite gotten back down to
2019, but we're hovering right
62
00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:47,120
around 85 to $0.90 a foot in the
east and maybe 5-10 cents more
63
00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:50,040
in the West.
The the the line of vacation
64
00:03:50,040 --> 00:03:53,360
being the 215 freeway for those
curious about Southern
65
00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:55,800
California.
So, yeah, that's what's
66
00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:59,040
happened.
And it's pretty much the case
67
00:03:59,040 --> 00:04:03,160
throughout Southern California.
The South Bay, which is the port
68
00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:07,440
area now all of a sudden rents
are very close to where they
69
00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:10,560
were in 2019.
Same sort of, you know, one of
70
00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:13,640
your big players in in Denver is
Pearl Lodge as their big player
71
00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:17,360
nationally, they are doing
anything and everything to drive
72
00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:20,399
occupancy.
So when will, when will this all
73
00:04:20,399 --> 00:04:22,079
it all end?
Who knows?
74
00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:24,560
I'm a big believer that we've
got to get some market drivers
75
00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:27,800
back into the market, some some
demand drivers.
76
00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:31,800
And until we see that happen,
until this tariff uncertainty
77
00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:34,480
sort of settles out, I think
we're just going to count out be
78
00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:36,120
status quo for the next few
months.
79
00:04:36,800 --> 00:04:40,000
So how do you help owners cope
with right?
80
00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:42,760
There's this interesting
psychological thing that happens
81
00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:49,520
when your rents triple and then
pull back right where the rent's
82
00:04:49,520 --> 00:04:52,240
triple and it's a heyday.
Everybody thinks, you know,
83
00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:54,920
we're, we're rich.
This is a steam train and it's
84
00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:58,240
not stopping.
And then all of a sudden, you
85
00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:03,240
know, we get slapped in the face
with interest rates, reality,
86
00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:07,160
tariffs, and suddenly our heyday
is over.
87
00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:13,320
How do we handle owners who
might not be in the trenches
88
00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:15,800
with us every single day pulling
comps and data?
89
00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:20,040
How do we deal with that?
Well, and you've written
90
00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:23,120
extensively about this and I
believe you've been spot on in
91
00:05:23,120 --> 00:05:25,560
your analysis.
And obviously it's going to vary
92
00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:28,080
by sub market.
But what we try to do Aviva is,
93
00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:32,200
is we try to educate, but we try
to, I think I shared with you on
94
00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:36,040
Twitter or or LinkedIn yesterday
about letting the market be the
95
00:05:36,040 --> 00:05:37,720
bad guy.
I'm a big believer in that.
96
00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:41,600
In other words, if I feel you as
a warehouse owner, Aviva, hey,
97
00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:44,280
the market rents are this.
And you say, well, no, I was at
98
00:05:44,280 --> 00:05:47,040
a cocktail party last week and
my neighbor owns a warehouse
99
00:05:47,040 --> 00:05:49,120
building and he says the market
rents are that.
100
00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:52,120
OK, That's fine.
Your owner owns one warehouse
101
00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:53,720
building.
I've been doing this for 40
102
00:05:53,720 --> 00:05:54,480
years.
I get it.
103
00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:59,480
I have no credibility in your
mind yet, but let's like the
104
00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:03,320
market be the bad guy.
I don't say those words, but all
105
00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:07,120
of a sudden if if you're asking
a dollar a square foot and
106
00:06:07,120 --> 00:06:11,040
offers are trickling in at 7585
cents and there's duplicity in
107
00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:14,520
that, all of a sudden owners are
going to realize, hey, if we're
108
00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:16,560
able, we're going to have to
need to market.
109
00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:22,880
Or if we have the staying power,
maybe we can withstand this sort
110
00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:26,440
of low period of rental and
eventually get back to where we
111
00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:30,000
need to be.
But situation by situation, sub
112
00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:32,120
market by sub market, that comes
into play.
113
00:06:32,840 --> 00:06:35,840
So what I tell, what I tell
owners these days is, look, if
114
00:06:35,840 --> 00:06:38,080
you want to transact today,
here's where the deals are
115
00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:40,600
happening.
And don't take my word for it.
116
00:06:40,960 --> 00:06:44,040
Take the word of the offers that
we've been receiving.
117
00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:47,640
And a lot of times I'll get
countered with, yeah, but we've
118
00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:50,360
got a year and a half built into
our pro forma.
119
00:06:50,840 --> 00:06:54,680
We can wait until January of
2027 until we're stabilized.
120
00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:58,280
And I, and I tell them that's
fine, but there's no guarantee
121
00:06:58,280 --> 00:07:01,520
in January of 2027 we're going
to be in any better shape
122
00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:05,720
because it's, it's pretty easy.
I, I use AI, use a real easy
123
00:07:06,040 --> 00:07:08,640
sort of analysis.
I like and say how many new
124
00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:10,640
buildings are coming on the
market each month and how many
125
00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:14,320
are leaving.
And if you get the total number
126
00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:16,520
of buildings on the market and
the total number of buildings
127
00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:22,200
that have left to September
25th, 2025, which is when we're
128
00:07:22,200 --> 00:07:25,520
taping this, that provides a
metric.
129
00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:30,400
And if you've got 100 buildings
available and if you lease 20 in
130
00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:33,840
a nine month period of time, 10
month period of time, that would
131
00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:37,600
suggest that you've got X amount
of inventory in terms of months
132
00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:41,440
or years.
And so until that picks up,
133
00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:45,640
until that double S or triples
or falls off, that's what we're
134
00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:48,880
faced with.
So it's pretty easy to say, you
135
00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:51,160
know, we got a year or two year
supply of inventory.
136
00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:54,400
Are things going to be better in
2027 January?
137
00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:57,200
Maybe, maybe not.
Once again, depending on size
138
00:07:57,200 --> 00:08:01,960
range, depending on submarket.
So data and let the market be
139
00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:04,400
the bad guy.
That's the way I would answer
140
00:08:04,400 --> 00:08:09,600
that.
I don't want to turn this more
141
00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:15,840
into a therapy session, but
yeah, it's, it's, I am, it is
142
00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:20,560
rough out there just, you know,
in our market and I know you say
143
00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:23,000
it's specific per submarket and
I agree.
144
00:08:23,880 --> 00:08:27,960
I also do see a larger trend
when I talk to brokers and
145
00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:31,160
owners nationally that are in
line with exactly what you're
146
00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:32,520
saying and feeling in your
market.
147
00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:34,520
I'm saying and feeling in my
market.
148
00:08:34,880 --> 00:08:38,799
But it is, you know, and in
Colorado we dealt with a another
149
00:08:38,799 --> 00:08:41,919
specific heyday prior to
e-commerce, which was the
150
00:08:41,919 --> 00:08:45,400
recreational legalization of
cannabis where we had that
151
00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:50,320
massive, massive appreciation of
on the rental rates.
152
00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:55,400
And all of that to say, it's not
2012 anymore.
153
00:08:55,680 --> 00:08:59,200
Our green rush is over.
People, businesses are
154
00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:03,800
struggling.
And unfortunately the real
155
00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:08,160
estate is generally the well,
what what we're finding today is
156
00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:14,400
what is suffering in terms of
continuing to grow, we'll say
157
00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:18,960
rental rates anyway.
I'm, I'm fetching about that on
158
00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:22,720
the Internet a lot because I'm
dealing with BOV, you know,
159
00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:26,560
broker opinion of values that
just aren't represented.
160
00:09:26,560 --> 00:09:28,720
They don't represent today like
you said.
161
00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:33,560
And it's tough to tell somebody
that their baby isn't worth $10
162
00:09:33,560 --> 00:09:37,680
million and like somebody told
them it was worth in 2023.
163
00:09:38,560 --> 00:09:41,400
Correct.
Yeah, it's, it's interesting
164
00:09:41,680 --> 00:09:45,480
because it this, this factors in
more with with warehouse space
165
00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:48,040
and logistics spaces than it
does for manufacturing.
166
00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:52,920
And when you, when you think
about a warehousing provider, it
167
00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:54,760
really there are two big expense
items.
168
00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:57,880
First and foremost does rent,
2nd and secondly is labor.
169
00:09:58,680 --> 00:10:01,440
And those are their, those are
their two benchmarks.
170
00:10:02,080 --> 00:10:05,200
And for the maybe for the first
time since I've been in the
171
00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:10,440
business of Eva, we look at that
warehouse comparison of rent and
172
00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:14,160
labor.
It's very similar to a way a
173
00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:18,200
retailer looks at their rent
because their rent can only
174
00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:21,840
support a certain amount of of
gross volume, right?
175
00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:24,440
In other words, the number of
sales that they do coming
176
00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:28,520
through their front door.
And so at a point if rents
177
00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:32,440
continue to rise and labor costs
continue to rise, those aren't
178
00:10:32,440 --> 00:10:36,160
getting any cheaper.
It's sort of like the at the end
179
00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:38,240
of the day, the warehouser
throws up their hands and they
180
00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:39,960
say, we're not going to do this
anymore.
181
00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:42,320
We're just going to put all our
product in a, you know, in a
182
00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:46,320
third party logistics provider
and let them worry about rent
183
00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:49,040
and but don't worry about labor.
We're not going to worry about
184
00:10:49,040 --> 00:10:50,840
it anymore.
We'll just pay by the pallet, be
185
00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:53,240
done with it and have the
flexibility to the that a three
186
00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:56,840
PL. can provide.
I've got another burning
187
00:10:56,840 --> 00:11:00,000
question to ask you that I ask
people every single day.
188
00:11:01,000 --> 00:11:04,320
Are we overbuilt right now on a
class product?
189
00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:12,000
Oh, 1000%, unfortunately, 1000%.
Now the interesting thing that
190
00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:15,040
we've got going on in our market
is we've got this thing called
191
00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:19,200
AB 98.
And if you're unfamiliar, AB 98
192
00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:23,600
and it's simplest form says you
can't build a building in
193
00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:27,360
Southern California larger than
100,000 square feet within 1000
194
00:11:27,360 --> 00:11:30,280
square feet of what they call an
accessory dwelling, whether
195
00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:33,160
that's a school, whether that's
a public building, whether
196
00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:37,360
that's a park.
And so a lot of developers that
197
00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:41,360
purchase land in anticipation of
building logistics space are now
198
00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:44,160
faced with we can't do it.
So now what do we do with the
199
00:11:44,160 --> 00:11:48,600
land, the iOS site?
Do we try to get it rezoned for
200
00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:51,000
multifamily?
Do we do some other creative
201
00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:54,160
use?
So we believe that the supply of
202
00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:57,080
industrial is somewhat finite
now in Southern California.
203
00:11:57,640 --> 00:12:01,080
And consequently, once we get
through this rough patch, I
204
00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:04,120
believe there are greener,
greener pastures ahead.
205
00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:08,520
But not to use the not to use
the cannabis parlance there too
206
00:12:08,520 --> 00:12:10,480
deeply.
But once we get through this
207
00:12:10,480 --> 00:12:14,080
green patch or through this
tough match into the new green
208
00:12:14,080 --> 00:12:15,360
area, I think we're going to be
better.
209
00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:20,280
So let's hope that's the case.
It's it's interesting times I
210
00:12:20,280 --> 00:12:23,600
see.
You know, we primarily deal in C
211
00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:27,720
Class small Bay and thankfully
it's held up.
212
00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:33,920
But I, you know, I am hyper
aware of the larger leases that
213
00:12:33,920 --> 00:12:37,520
get signed locally and even more
hyper aware that they are few
214
00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:40,000
and far between right now.
So yeah.
215
00:12:40,640 --> 00:12:43,800
And it's the last thing I'll
mention on this that's become a,
216
00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:49,480
a real factor in our market is
the preponderance of this is the
217
00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:53,560
second generation space that's
come back on the market that is
218
00:12:53,560 --> 00:12:56,320
equally amenities to the Class A
space.
219
00:12:57,040 --> 00:12:59,880
And these are buildings that
were built in the last rush, you
220
00:12:59,880 --> 00:13:03,840
know, somewhere between call it
2013 and 2018.
221
00:13:04,600 --> 00:13:08,360
And many times they have 30 foot
clearance, they've got 180 foot
222
00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:11,000
truck turning radius, they have
ESFR sprinklers.
223
00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:15,960
And the benefit is they have
lower operating expenses because
224
00:13:15,960 --> 00:13:18,800
their tax bases is lower because
they were built 10 years ago.
225
00:13:19,640 --> 00:13:21,960
And so when those come back on
the market now, they're
226
00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:25,440
competing with the Class A
inventory that's brand new that
227
00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:27,480
may have a couple of feet of
clear hide on them.
228
00:13:27,960 --> 00:13:29,960
But for all intents and
purposes, that's the only
229
00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:32,120
difference.
So if you have a provider that
230
00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:35,000
doesn't really need a a 36 foot
clear building, they can
231
00:13:35,080 --> 00:13:38,720
survive, just find a 30 clear
building that's a better
232
00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:42,560
alternative for them.
So we're seeing a lot of a lot
233
00:13:42,560 --> 00:13:44,360
of activity in second Gen.
space.
234
00:13:46,520 --> 00:13:48,640
Wow.
Hey, it makes sense.
235
00:13:48,640 --> 00:13:53,680
I always say price is 95% of the
decision and I actually think
236
00:13:53,680 --> 00:13:57,640
it's more.
I think it's like 98%, but I
237
00:13:57,640 --> 00:14:02,760
digress.
Alan, I was at a conference last
238
00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:06,920
week and somebody told me your
book, The Sequence was the best
239
00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:12,360
commercial real estate brokerage
book out there and I have to
240
00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:13,680
read it.
It's on my list.
241
00:14:17,000 --> 00:14:20,520
Tell me about The Sequence.
What is The Sequence and how it
242
00:14:20,520 --> 00:14:24,280
came to be?
Thanks for the question and and
243
00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:26,400
wow, that's that's an amazing
review.
244
00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:29,840
I I wish I knew that was and I'd
I'd send them a box of
245
00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:32,760
chocolates.
The sequence is a double
246
00:14:32,760 --> 00:14:38,120
entendre Aviva.
The the first meaning is SEQUENC
247
00:14:38,160 --> 00:14:40,960
are the steps of a real estate
transaction.
248
00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:45,640
So the S stands for sourcing.
The ES evaluate the QS qualify.
249
00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:49,920
EU is under control, the E is
execute, the N is negotiate and
250
00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:52,160
close, the CE is commissioned or
get paid.
251
00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:55,440
And finally, we expand, which
you're amazing at doing.
252
00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:57,920
You're amazing at expanding your
wins.
253
00:14:58,640 --> 00:15:02,400
The second meaning of the
sequence is it's a sequence of
254
00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:05,480
your career.
Why you choose commercial real
255
00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:09,160
estate who you choose to love,
where you choose to live, how
256
00:15:09,160 --> 00:15:12,440
you choose to spend your free
time, how you choose to worship
257
00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:16,280
all of those are factors which
are decisions you make
258
00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:21,440
throughout your career that help
define your career in commercial
259
00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:25,200
real estate.
It came about because I designed
260
00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:31,680
a, a seminar on the qualify
piece of the sequence and
261
00:15:31,680 --> 00:15:35,480
qualify as an acronym, as in as
a sequence is an acronym and
262
00:15:35,480 --> 00:15:39,840
qualify stands for a
quantitative need, an urgency,
263
00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:46,960
authority, loyalty, intention or
expectations, fuel and yearning.
264
00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:50,840
And so I was delivering this
seminar to group of folks in our
265
00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:53,840
Atlanta office and one of the
producers raised his hand and he
266
00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:55,800
said, gosh, this is great
content.
267
00:15:55,800 --> 00:16:00,200
Why don't you write a book?
And I've been thinking about how
268
00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:03,680
to do I, do I write a book
that's geared toward commercial
269
00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:05,640
real estate agents?
Do I write a book that's geared
270
00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:08,680
toward my ideal customer?
Do I write a book that anyone
271
00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:10,880
could, you know, from whom could
benefit?
272
00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:15,440
And as soon as he said that, it
just dawned on me that, boy,
273
00:16:15,440 --> 00:16:18,760
there's the answer right there.
And I had three or four ideas
274
00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:22,440
running around in my mind.
And when he said that, it just
275
00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:24,920
magically came to be.
And all of a sudden, the
276
00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:27,880
qualified piece became a piece
of the bigger sequence.
277
00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:30,960
And I thought, this is awesome.
I love double entendre.
278
00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:34,000
And I can see how this could be
a legacy play.
279
00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:37,600
It can be a tactical play.
I can share some of my stories.
280
00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:41,280
And so that's what the book is.
It's filled with my experiences
281
00:16:41,280 --> 00:16:45,200
over a 41 year commercial real
estate career, some of the
282
00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:48,080
contrarian decisions I've made.
You know, one of them is to get
283
00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:51,200
married at age 22 to my very
best friend who I just
284
00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:53,560
celebrated 46 years of marital
bliss.
285
00:16:54,240 --> 00:16:58,080
I know you're a relative,
newlywed and a new and a new
286
00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:00,360
mom.
You know, one of them was moving
287
00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:02,480
to California from the state of
Arkansas.
288
00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:06,359
And may I tell you, when we did
that in 1979, that was breaking
289
00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:09,079
heresy.
No one moved to California, that
290
00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:13,560
land of fruits and nuts.
So, yeah, it's, it's it was a
291
00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:15,480
lot of fun to ride.
It's been a lot of fun to
292
00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:19,160
promote and to hear the
outpouring, which really was an
293
00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:22,680
unintended consequence, you
know, for you to say, someone at
294
00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:25,960
the CREI Summit said this is the
best real estate book on the
295
00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:28,560
market right now.
You just have no idea what kind
296
00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:32,280
of an impact that has on me
because I I thought I had
297
00:17:32,280 --> 00:17:34,240
something to say.
I thought I had a voice.
298
00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:36,720
But so here.
The feedback I've gotten has
299
00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:42,320
just been remarkable so well.
It's interesting in this
300
00:17:42,320 --> 00:17:47,200
business, you go in and I'm sure
this is in life and anything,
301
00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:51,480
but you go in and you expect one
thing, you try to close the deal
302
00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:55,800
you and, and then on the other
end, you come out with a great
303
00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:59,560
friend or somebody, you know,
something so different than what
304
00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:01,680
you could have ever expected to
be the result.
305
00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:05,520
And I wouldn't know if that's
the same in other businesses
306
00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:07,560
because I've never done anything
but this.
307
00:18:07,840 --> 00:18:12,320
But it's, it's so rewarding.
It's like you said, it's like
308
00:18:12,320 --> 00:18:15,840
this industry.
I, I have really enjoyed
309
00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:18,400
learning about strategy in this
business.
310
00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:23,320
Right when I started a decade
ago, I didn't realize there was
311
00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:25,320
a strategy.
I just picked up the phone and
312
00:18:25,320 --> 00:18:27,920
just started run, you know,
knocking on doors and running.
313
00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:32,000
If I knew what I knew today, how
intense the strategy and
314
00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:35,400
competition, I don't even know
what I would have thought 10
315
00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:37,360
years ago.
But all of that to say, it's
316
00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:39,680
tough.
It's a tough business, it's
317
00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:43,600
tough work.
And to be able to compile that
318
00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:47,680
and then give it to other people
is cool because in this
319
00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,120
business, most people don't want
to do that.
320
00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:54,920
And, and I'm sure you know more
than I, given you've been
321
00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:57,600
working in this industry longer
than I've been alive, that it's
322
00:18:57,600 --> 00:19:01,360
always been very gate kept.
And so I get really excited to
323
00:19:01,360 --> 00:19:06,480
talk to people like you or just
to talk on the podcast to teach
324
00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:11,760
people about this industry that
wouldn't have had that privilege
325
00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:16,440
had they not had access to the
Internet like we all do today.
326
00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:19,160
So.
Yeah, and you break up an
327
00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:21,360
interesting point.
And I and I talk about this at
328
00:19:21,360 --> 00:19:25,560
link to the book and, and what
you're you're talking about
329
00:19:25,560 --> 00:19:28,680
making friends and and maybe you
make a friend in a deal.
330
00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:31,360
Maybe you make a friend through
a a social media connection.
331
00:19:31,360 --> 00:19:33,760
You know, you and I now know
each other somewhat.
332
00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:35,880
Now we'll now we'll be friends
and we'll talk.
333
00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:41,600
So I, I look at that as the
spirit of cooperation, the
334
00:19:41,600 --> 00:19:44,600
spirit of collaboration.
I've never been a, a scarcity
335
00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:46,280
theorist.
I've always been a man of
336
00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:48,640
abundance.
I've always believed in sharing.
337
00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:52,400
My wife says I overshare.
And maybe that's true.
338
00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:59,680
But our company lead associate
was formed with cooperation in
339
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:03,680
mind because to your point, it
was gate kept.
340
00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,040
Bill Lee worked for a company
called Grubbin Ellis, which is
341
00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:10,840
now Newmark Frank.
And when Bill was at Grubbin
342
00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:13,000
Ellis, he was one of the top
producers.
343
00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:16,640
And if he had a 30,000 square
foot listing and the guy in the
344
00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:20,280
cube next to him had a 30,000
square foot requirement, Bill
345
00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:22,920
wouldn't tell him about the
requirement or tell him about
346
00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:27,080
the listing for fear that that
guy would get the deal and then
347
00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:29,320
Bill would not be the number one
producer.
348
00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:33,280
So he thought, you know, this is
nuts, right?
349
00:20:33,280 --> 00:20:35,400
This is this is not have that
mindset.
350
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:40,600
What we really ought to be
trying to figure out is a way to
351
00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:44,600
cooperate.
And he realized that the way we
352
00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:48,520
incentivize folks to cooperate
is by sharing the profit.
353
00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:54,560
So now I'm incentivized to share
a deal with a former with with
354
00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:57,040
with a fellow colleague in the
cube next to me.
355
00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:02,080
That's why an Ellen Buchanan is
willing to bring Ron Weber or
356
00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:05,320
Aviva Sonnenrich a deal in
Denver, Co.
357
00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:10,240
Because if I bring that to Ron,
I own venture in the Denver
358
00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,680
office and all of a sudden,
boom, there's there's some
359
00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:15,080
synergy there.
If I bring it to you, I know
360
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,240
you're going to broadcast it to
the hilt and that's amazing.
361
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:22,520
That's going to create that sort
of mindset.
362
00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:27,880
So yeah, that's the one thing
that I have throughout my
363
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:32,720
career, tried to stress with
anyone that'll listen is in many
364
00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:37,640
cases a cooperating broker can
be your best source of business
365
00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:39,400
and be your best source of
business.
366
00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:40,960
And people gotta go.
That's nuts.
367
00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:45,160
They're your competitor.
Well, maybe, but once again, to
368
00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:49,240
use the bill, if I've got a
requirement in Denver, Co and
369
00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:52,640
you've got a listing in Denver,
Co, why the heck aren't we
370
00:21:52,640 --> 00:21:56,880
sharing that information freely?
And so that's the way I that's
371
00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:58,680
the way I've done the business
my entire career.
372
00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:02,400
In my opinion, is the only way
to do business to work in the
373
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:04,480
best interest of our clients,
right?
374
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:11,640
I think people get so
disillusioned by the results and
375
00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:14,200
what success looks like in this
business that they forget why
376
00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:16,600
we're here in the 1st place,
which is just to work in the
377
00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:20,800
best efforts of our clients.
And, and the fact that when you
378
00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:24,600
do that, the client can tell and
it's a lifelong business
379
00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:28,240
relationship because they might
need to lease the property again
380
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:30,440
or sell the property or buy the
next one.
381
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:33,400
And.
It's a long Amen.
382
00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:37,360
It absolutely is.
It absolutely is in there.
383
00:22:37,360 --> 00:22:41,680
A couple of stories in the book
where I, I highlight that where
384
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:45,000
I've, I've actually talked
clients out of doing the deal
385
00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:49,040
and people say, why on earth did
you do that?
386
00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:54,080
You, you make a living
transacting and, and the answer
387
00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:57,240
is because it's the right thing
to do, right?
388
00:22:57,240 --> 00:23:00,040
It's the right thing to do.
It was, it was ill advised for
389
00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:01,880
the client to proceed that
direction.
390
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:05,840
They didn't realize it, but I
have a higher standard of care.
391
00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:08,600
I could see through what they
were trying to do.
392
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:13,560
I could see all of the potential
obstacles and to bring that to
393
00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:18,320
light so that it became their
decision not to transact ends up
394
00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:21,840
multiplying that requirement in
years to come.
395
00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:26,120
So.
It, it is funny in this business
396
00:23:26,120 --> 00:23:30,280
how the work you put in today
really doesn't come into light
397
00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:35,800
and it could be in six months, a
year or six years, but it's
398
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:40,160
nevertheless a great time and
every day is different.
399
00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:49,840
So anyway, Mr. Buchanan, I know
I told you that this is my
400
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:51,800
question.
I will ask you.
401
00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:53,960
We go off the cusp with
everything else.
402
00:23:54,120 --> 00:23:56,280
What is your commercial real
estate secret?
403
00:23:57,000 --> 00:24:01,160
Strategic networking.
How would you suggest somebody
404
00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:04,840
just starting in commercial real
estate to strategically network?
405
00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:13,160
Don't think in terms of a B to B
sale, AB to B contact.
406
00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:16,240
Think in terms of an indirect
contact.
407
00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:17,880
Let me give you a couple of
examples.
408
00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:21,760
So Jake Crandall and I did one
of these yesterday.
409
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,360
And Jake, as you know, is a, is
ACPA.
410
00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:30,160
And Jake produces amazing
content targeted toward
411
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:33,040
commercial real estate agents.
And I picked up the phone one
412
00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:35,400
day and I called him and I said
you were just killing it.
413
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:39,080
You were doing it exactly the
right way and good for you.
414
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:41,560
I feel the same way about what
you are doing.
415
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:46,720
You're creating amazing content
targeted at the person with whom
416
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:49,200
you want to do business.
That's great.
417
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:53,600
Here's another idea.
There are so many people that
418
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:58,840
touch our ideal clients that if
we take a step back and as
419
00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:03,160
opposed to trying to get in
touch with the owner or occupant
420
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:06,320
of a building, how about we
approach their CPA?
421
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:08,160
How about we approach their
business attorney?
422
00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:10,240
How about we approach their
business banker?
423
00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:13,280
How about we approach their
commercial insurance agent?
424
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:16,680
What about the what about the
group that helped them acquire
425
00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:20,800
their competitor?
And if you think in terms of, of
426
00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:25,600
the direct approach in that
regard, you're going to find
427
00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:29,880
that rather than call 30
occupants, if you're, if you
428
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:34,280
know 30 Cpas who all know 30
occupants, you can see how that
429
00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:38,680
multiplies itself.
When I figured this out in 2009,
430
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:45,480
it was an absolute game changer
for me because about the same
431
00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:48,360
time I was doing the strategic
networking, I started doing
432
00:25:48,360 --> 00:25:52,680
social media marketing.
And those two things have
433
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:55,000
propelled my career to the place
that it is today.
434
00:25:55,000 --> 00:26:00,600
Without those, I probably would
be, who knows, but I, I
435
00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:02,800
definitely would not have
achieved the success I've
436
00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:05,160
achieved in the last 15 years
because of that.
437
00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:10,600
So, yeah, new folks in the
business, frankly and, and
438
00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:15,440
frankly, even folks that aren't
so new tend to want to gosh,
439
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:18,160
it's, it's about how many calls
I make to the person that's
440
00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:19,880
going to lease or buy a
building.
441
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,520
It's about how many calls I make
to a person that's going to sell
442
00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:25,800
or hire me to lease a building.
Yeah, there needs to be a
443
00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:30,240
certain amount of that, but
temper that with a a brilliant
444
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:32,400
network and you're going to
separate yourself from the
445
00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:33,680
masses.
Wow.
446
00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:36,000
Well, have you heard that
before?
447
00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:39,480
Have you heard that before?
No, that was a good one.
448
00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:44,440
That's a really good I Yeah, I
wrote it down and circled it.
449
00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:51,680
Awesome.
So, yeah, hey, somebody who asks
450
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:54,560
people what the secret is, it's
a new one.
451
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:57,320
And I'm you've got me thinking.
So that's cool.
452
00:26:57,360 --> 00:27:00,960
Thank you, Mr. Buchanan, for the
listeners.
453
00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:05,840
Where can they First off, buy
the book, The Sequence, find
454
00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:09,800
you, follow you, contact you for
all of their Southern California
455
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:12,840
industrial real estate needs?
There you go.
456
00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:15,760
I the book is called The
Sequence.
457
00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:18,200
It's available on Amazon.
All you got to do is Google it
458
00:27:18,760 --> 00:27:22,680
and hopefully you'll put a link
in the bio in terms of finding
459
00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:27,320
me.
Ellen Buchanan, 714-624-3896 is
460
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:29,160
my mobile.
A Buchanan,
461
00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:34,440
leehyphenassociates.com e-mail
Allen C Buchanan Twitter Allen C
462
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:37,640
Buchanan Instagram Allen
Buchanan LinkedIn.
463
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:40,320
Yeah, I'm everywhere.
Like he said one time.
464
00:27:40,320 --> 00:27:44,800
I'm nationwide.
Allen, thank you so much for
465
00:27:44,800 --> 00:27:46,760
being on the show today.
It's great to finally connect
466
00:27:46,760 --> 00:27:51,440
with you in real life, as real
as being on a podcast is that
467
00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:55,720
isn't actually physically
together and go everybody
468
00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:59,360
listening, go grab the sequence
and we'll see you next week.
469
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:05,640
That's a wrap for this week on
commercial real estate secrets.
470
00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:10,240
If you found value, do us a
favor and subscribe, leave a
471
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:13,880
review and share it with a
fellow commercial real estate
472
00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:16,440
lover.
For brokerage services or to
473
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:18,840
connect, visit
warehousehotline.com.
474
00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:21,560
I'm Aviva.
We'll see you next week.